Mizuho's 2026 Industrials Sector Outlook: Tale of Two Cities

#industrials #sector_outlook #mizuho #2026 #aerospace #defense #ai_infrastructure #investment_strategy #market_analysis
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2026年1月21日

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Based on my comprehensive search, I was unable to locate a publicly available list specifically identifying Mizuho Securities’

top 5 US industrial stock picks for 2026
. However, I can provide you with the relevant information that is publicly accessible regarding Mizuho’s 2026 outlook for the industrials sector.


Mizuho’s 2026 Industrials Sector Outlook

According to Mizuho Financial Group’s official “Sector Outlook 2026” report authored by

David Hunt
(Co-Head of Industrials) and
Doug Jackson
(Head of U.S. M&A and Co-Head of Industrials), the industrials sector is characterized as a
“tale of two cities”
with divergent prospects across subsectors[1][2].

The “Haves” (Favorable Outlook Subsectors)

Mizuho identifies three subsectors with strong fundamentals and growth drivers:

Subsector Key Investment Thesis
AI Infrastructure
Data center build-outs and U.S. manufacturing re-shoring are driving industrial equipment investments
Aerospace & Defense
Geopolitical tensions are fueling massive increases in defense spending in the U.S., Europe, and Asia Pacific
Commercial Aerospace
Cyclical travel rebound combined with aircraft undersupply will drive demand across the supply chain

Companies in these subsectors have “solid footing” with strong access to capital and expected M&A opportunities driving both organic and inorganic investment[1][2].

The “Have Nots” (Challenging Outlook Subsectors)

Mizuho identifies three subsectors facing headwinds:

Subsector Key Challenges
Chemicals
Prolonged downcycle due to overcapacity and soft end-market demand
Automotive
Continued impacts from tariff policies (both ICE and EV segments)
Building Products
Pressure from interest rate cut uncertainty; tariffs affecting steel, aluminum, and wood pricing

Investment Implications

Mizuho’s industrials analysts emphasize that 2026 should offer opportunities across the sector, particularly for:

  • Deal-making
    : Initial public offerings (IPOs), mergers & acquisitions (M&A), and leveraged buyouts (LBOs) are expected to be active
  • Fiscal stimulus benefits
    : Potential upside from government spending initiatives
  • Capital deployment
    : Companies with strong balance sheets and solid credit fundamentals can exploit their profiles in a robust market environment[1][2]

Note on Specific Stock Recommendations

While Mizuho has published specific top stock picks for other sectors—such as

Nvidia (NVDA), Lumentum (LITE), and Broadcom (AVGO)
for semiconductors[3][4]—the specific
top 5 US industrial stock recommendations
appear to be available only through proprietary client research reports or subscription services. The firm’s official sector outlook provides thematic guidance rather than specific stock-level recommendations in the publicly accessible materials.


References

[1] Mizuho Financial Group - Sector Outlook 2026: https://www.mizuhogroup.com/beyond-the-obvious/sector-outlook-2026

[2] CNBC - Wall Street’s Top Stock Picks for 2026: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/20/wall-streets-top-stock-picks-for-2026-mizuhos-under-the-radar-name.html

[3] Investing.com - Mizuho Names Top Semiconductor Sectors for 2026: https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/mizuho-names-top-semiconductor-sectors-for-2026-favors-nvidia-stock-93CH-4438913

[4] TipRanks - Mizuho Names Its Top 3 Chip Stocks for 2026: https://www.tipranks.com/news/mizuho-names-its-top-3-chip-stocks-for-2026


Recommendation
: For access to Mizuho’s specific top 5 US industrial stock picks with price targets and detailed investment theses, you may need to access Mizuho’s institutional research services or financial platforms that carry their proprietary analyst reports.

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