Dow Jones Industrial Average Component Divergence Analysis

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2026年2月1日

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Dow Jones Industrial Average Component Divergence Analysis

Despite the Dow Jones Industrial Average posting a modest gain of

+0.11%
(closing at $49,071.55), the individual components within the 30-stock index exhibit substantial divergence, reflecting varied sector dynamics and company-specific factors[0].


Key Findings: Performance Spread

The year-over-year performance dispersion among Dow components is remarkably wide:

Category Top Performers Laggards
Best
Intel (INTC): +142.94%
Goldman Sachs (GS): +95.28%
Caterpillar (CAT): +90.97%
Worst
UnitedHealth (UNH): -50.88%
Nike (NKE): -21.09%
Salesforce (CRM): -15.91%

The

performance spread between the best and worst performers exceeds 193 percentage points
, illustrating the significant internal divergence within the index[0].


Primary Factors Driving Divergence
1. Sector Rotation Dynamics

Today’s sector performance data reveals pronounced rotation patterns[0]:

Sector Daily Change Impact on Dow
Real Estate
+0.70% Positive contributor
Communication Services
+0.44% Moderate positive
Basic Materials
+0.21% Slight positive
Financial Services
+0.03% Neutral
Consumer Defensive
-0.29% Moderate drag
Technology
-0.32% Moderate drag
Utilities
-0.35% Moderate drag
Industrials
-0.62% Notable drag
Healthcare
-0.65% Notable drag
Consumer Cyclical
-1.46% Significant drag
Energy
-1.78%
Largest drag

The energy sector’s sharp decline (-1.78%) is particularly impactful given Dow components

Exxon Mobil (XOM)
and
Chevron (CVX)
, both of which have underperformed the broader index rally despite posting positive YoY gains of +25.40% and +20.82%, respectively[0].

2. Technology Sector Fragmentation

Within the Dow’s technology holdings, performance varies dramatically:

  • Intel (INTC)
    : Exceptional recovery with +142.94% YoY gain, benefiting from turnaround efforts and AI-related investments[0]
  • Apple (AAPL)
    : Solid +19.28% YoY performance, driven by services revenue and AI initiatives[0]
  • Microsoft (MSFT)
    : Virtually flat at +0.67% YoY, suggesting valuation exhaustion after extended gains[0]
  • Salesforce (CRM)
    : Declining at -15.91% YoY, reflecting enterprise software spending pressures[0]
3. Financials Strength

Financial sector components are performing strongly:

  • Goldman Sachs (GS)
    : +95.28% YoY, capitalizing on robust investment banking activity and trading revenues[0]
  • JPMorgan Chase (JPM)
    : +48.87% YoY, benefiting from net interest income and deal activity[0]
4. Industrials Momentum

Industrial names within the Dow show exceptional strength:

  • Caterpillar (CAT)
    : +90.97% YoY, driven by infrastructure spending and resilient demand[0]
  • Boeing (BA)
    : +49.79% YoY, recovering from historical challenges with improved production metrics[0]
5. Healthcare Underperformance

The healthcare sector presents the most significant drag:

  • UnitedHealth (UNH)
    : -50.88% YoY, experiencing pressure from Medicare Advantage rate changes and legal challenges[0]
6. Consumer Discretionary Weakness

Consumer-facing Dow components are struggling:

  • Nike (NKE)
    : -21.09% YoY, facing inventory challenges and market share losses[0]
  • Home Depot (HD)
    : -2.67% YoY, reflecting softer housing market conditions[0]

Conclusion

The Dow Jones Industrial Average’s modest 0.11% gain masks significant underlying volatility as competing forces offset each other. The index’s price-weighted methodology means higher-priced stocks like

Goldman Sachs ($940.12)
,
Microsoft ($433.50)
, and
UnitedHealth ($292.29)
exert greater influence on the index’s movement than lower-priced components[0].

The divergence reflects broader market themes:

strength in financials, industrials, and select technology names
, balanced against
weakness in energy, healthcare, and consumer discretionary sectors
. This rotation pattern suggests investors are positioning for a reflationary environment while remaining cautious on growth-oriented segments.


References

[0] 金灵AI市场数据 API (实时报价、成分股数据、板块表现)

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